Putting Tesla FSD Beta in Perspective
2/ I've put into perspective where Tesla sits relative to the others attempting Level 4-5 in the past:
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
Here: https://t.co/i9tcylR9zo
And here: https://t.co/SEfDqBtjF9
But now there is a dataset the Tesla crowd is beginning to (contribute to and) cite.
4/ Now, the average disengagement rates as submitted by the 75 Tesla owners in this are nowhere close to my experience with FSD Beta.
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
Like, 9.1 miles driven autonomously before a disengagement on urban driving? Or 1,087 miles on the highway before a disengagement? Yeah right.
6/ First, let's chart the "FSDBeta Community Tracker" and convert out of "disengagements per mile"—a metric only used by Tesla (like "FSD")—and flip it around to a metric the big boys use: miles per disengagement. pic.twitter.com/ftRjosoJEl
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
8/ Zooming out a bit more, we see @autoxtech 's 2018 rate of 191 mi/disengagement, which was very impressive for the 1.5-year-old Chinese startup, at the time.
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
For perspective, Tesla had been selling "FSD-capable" vehicles for longer than AutoX had even existed. pic.twitter.com/8JCqXbb1ty
10/ ...zoom out further. pic.twitter.com/3aUlO2Ctwb
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
12/ Let's more-than-double the y-axis scale to 15,000. @PonyAI_tech nearly notched the 15,000 mi-mark last year. Check out the neck-and-neck Waymo/Cruise race a few years ago. pic.twitter.com/3Ltbv1E6z1
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
14/ Now nearly double the y-axis AGAIN to see @Cruise and the current leader, @autoxtech 's disengagement rates last year.
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022
You need a magnifying glass (or helpful red arrow) to see where @Tesla currently is in comparison. pic.twitter.com/NNYrwLCZQ6
— Taylor Ogan (@TaylorOgan) March 8, 2022Follow @snowbullcapital Follow @TaylorOgan
